The question on the table
Many B2B sales leaders face the same decision in these weeks: energy costs have risen again, the 2027 price round is being prepared, and the question is whether to show the additional cost as an energy surcharge or to build it into the list price. Both approaches are common, and both have consequences that often become visible only months later. This article provides a decision table and a calculation that let you answer the question for one product group in an afternoon.
What this means right now
The occasion is concrete. German producer prices for industrial products were 6.7 percent higher in September 2026 than a year earlier, the largest increase since March 2023. Energy was the main driver with a rise of 14.9 percent, and intermediate goods were 6.4 percent more expensive. Excluding energy, the increase was 3.2 percent (Destatis, press release no. 373 of 20 October 2026). Companies are responding: the ifo price expectations rose from 23.0 to 25.9 points in October 2026, and in manufacturing from 22.0 to 27.2 points. The ifo Institute expects inflation in both producer and consumer prices to increase further in the coming months (VerkehrsRundschau on the ifo price expectations for October 2026).
For B2B pricing this means two things. First, a large share of the cost pressure is driven by energy and therefore volatile. Second, many competitors will raise prices in the same weeks, and buyers will look more closely at which justification holds. If you separate permanent from temporary costs now, you enter negotiations with better arguments.
Two approaches, two logics
An energy surcharge is a separate price component, linked to a traceable reference value and governed by a rule that defines when it falls or ends. It makes the reason for the increase visible and leaves the list price untouched. Its drawback: it invites negotiation about exactly this line item, and it has to be maintained. A surcharge that never falls quickly loses credibility with customers.
Raising the list price is easier to manage. There is one number, no additional logic and no monthly adjustment. On the other hand, it is hard to reverse, and it also affects products whose costs hardly depend on energy. A flat increase loses credibility where the justification does not fit and leaves margin on the table where the energy share is high.
The decision table
For each product group, answer five questions with yes or no:
| Question | Yes points to |
|---|---|
| Is the energy share of production cost above roughly five percent? | Surcharge |
| Does this cost share fluctuate strongly from quarter to quarter? | Surcharge |
| Is there a public reference value that customers can verify? | Surcharge |
| Do customers mainly buy under framework agreements with fixed prices? | Surcharge with contract clause |
| Is the cost increase mainly permanent, such as wages or intermediate goods? | List price |
Three or more answers pointing to a surcharge favour a separate energy surcharge. If the last row dominates, the increase belongs in the list price. Mixed cases are normal: the permanent part then goes into the list price, and only the volatile part is shown as a surcharge.
The calculation for one product group
Three figures determine the order of magnitude: the energy share of production cost, the expected change in energy cost and the share of production cost in the net price. Multiplied together, they give the increase needed to hold the margin in absolute terms. An example with assumed values: energy share eight percent, energy cost up 15 percent, production cost 70 percent of the net price. This results in a cost increase of 1.2 percent of production cost and a required price adjustment of roughly 0.8 percent of the net price. This figure is the floor for the surcharge. It is also your argument in the conversation, because it is derived from a reference value the customer knows.
One addition to the calculation: also check how much of last year's cost increase actually reached the market. A look at the price waterfall shows whether discounts, rebates and special terms have already eroded earlier increases. If so, neither a surcharge nor a higher list price will help on its own, because the gap arises in the terms. In that case a rule for special terms belongs in the same price round.
A practical example
A mid-sized manufacturer of technical plastic parts, described here as an anonymised example, introduced a flat surcharge of several percent on all items after the energy price rise of 2022. Two years later the surcharge was still on every invoice, although energy prices had fallen. Several key accounts raised it in their annual reviews, and in the end it was traded for discounts on the list price. Margins were lower afterwards than before the surcharge.
On the second attempt the company took a different route. It calculated the energy share for each product group, set a surcharge for three energy-intensive groups with reference to a public index and a quarterly review, and built the permanent part of the cost increase into list prices. The remaining groups only went through the list price round. Negotiations became shorter because every line item had its own verifiable justification.
What you can leave out
You do not need a pricing model for the entire range to make this decision. Start with the product group that has the highest energy share and the largest revenue. Leave out complex index formulas with several reference values; one public series is enough. Skip monthly adjustments; a quarterly rhythm is easier for customers and the sales team. And write down the rule for reducing the surcharge before you introduce it. This single line decides whether the surcharge will still be accepted in two years.
Conclusion
Energy surcharge or list price is not a question of principle but a decision for each product group. The decision table separates permanent from volatile costs, and the calculation provides both the floor and the argument. If you complete both before the 2027 price round, you enter negotiations with a clear justification and avoid a surcharge that later turns into a source of discounts.
If you would like to prepare this decision for your product groups in a structured way, talk to Resilient Value. We work through the table and the calculation with your team using your own figures.
This text was written with the help of AI.
Sources
- Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), press release no. 373: producer prices in September 2026 +6.7% on September 2025, 20 Oct 2026, https://www.destatis.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2026/10/PD26_373_61241.html
- VerkehrsRundschau, Hohe Energiepreise sorgen weiterhin für Preisdruck (ifo price expectations October 2026), October 2026, https://www.verkehrsrundschau.de/nachrichten/transport-logistik/hohe-energiepreise-sorgen-weiterhin-fuer-preisdruck-3929117
Further reading
Andreas Stauber
Founder & Managing Director, Resilient Value GmbH
